El Niño Was Unusually Active In The Late 20th Century Possibly Due To Climate Change
http://www.ibtimes.com/el-nino-was-unusually-active-late-20th-century-possibly-due-climate-change-1329255#
I talk about “global warming” off and on here, mostly complaining about the inability for our society to have a conversation discussing the possibility that doing nothing (i.e., letting status quo prevail regarding the burning of fossil fuels) is at least as viable a ‘solution’ as any other. This article is quite interesting to me because of this:
“Many climate models do not reflect the strong ENSO [El Niño–Southern Oscillation, which is popularly known just as El Niño] response to global warming that we found. This suggests that many models underestimate the sensitivity to radiative perturbations in greenhouse gases,” Shang-Ping Xie, meteorology professor at the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii, said.
This is a rather polite way of saying that “your models suck if they can’t predict the El Nino variations”. Based on everything I have read on climate models (a lot, but certainly not at the PhD level), the models are all pretty much in the ‘you suck’ range and the modelers can get anything from an ice age to boiling temps simply by tweaking the input numbers. If the output of the models depend on the whims of the modeler, then as far as I am concerned the models have zero predictive value, yet it seems to me despite this incredibly shaky ‘foundation’ our society can only focus on one solution to our ‘globing warming problem’: jamming our economy back into the stone age via the elimination of fossil fuels.
That our climate average temp is rising is a scientific fact.
That humans are instrumental in a large (40%+) proportion of that increase is highly likely and widely accepted by the vast majority of scientists.
That that human caused warming is exclusively (or even predominantly) due to humans burning fossil fuels is when the evidence starts to get thin and personalities take over.
That the only remedy is to eliminate fossil fuels becomes something with no scientific basis whatsoever, yet our global economy is at stake.
Too bad humans seem incapable of rational thought!
