I found some emails in my outbox that I guess didn’t generate any responses, but I still think they are interesting so will post them here…
But it seems to me it is mostly wishful thinking:
Supercomputer predicts revolution
Feeding a supercomputer with news stories could help predict major world events, according to US research.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-14841018
Looking at their graph of the events surrounding Mubarak’s fall I would be hard pressed to make any sort of decision since the data is so noisy and it is clear that there have been dramatic dips when nothing was associated with Mubarak being driven from office before. If you assume that analysts are looking for reasons on whether we should back Mubarak or not, that decision should have been made decades earlier because he was a despotic dictator.
